U.S. House Predictions- New York- North Dakota

22 Days Until Election Day

New York

1.  Lee Zeldin R (Trump 54%) Leans R

2.  Open (Pete King R) (Trump 53%) Tossup (D)

3.  Tom Suozzi D (Clinton 51%)  Likely D

4.  Kathleen Rice D (Clinton 53%) Safe D

5.  Gregory Meeks D (Clinton 85%) Safe D

6.  Grace Meng D (Clinton 65%) Safe D

7.  Nydia Velazquez D (Clinton 86%) Safe D

8.  Hakeem Jeffries D (Clinton 84%) Safe D

9.  Yvette Clarke D (Clinton 83%) Safe D

10. Jerrold Nadler D (Clinton 78%) Safe D

11. Max Rose D (Trump 53%) Tossup (D)

12. Carolyn Maloney D (Clinton 82%) Safe D

13. Adriano Espaillat D (Clinton 92%) Safe D

14. Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez D (Clinton 77%) Safe D

15. Open (Jose Serrano D) (Clinton 94%) Safe D

16. Open (Eliot Engel D) (Clinton 75%) Safe D

17. Open (Nita Lowey D) (Clinton 58%) Safe D

18. Sean Maloney D (Trump 49%) Leans D

19. Antonio Delgado D (Trump 50%) Likely D

20. Paul Tonko D (Clinton 53%) Safe D

21. Elise Stefanik R (Trump 53%) Likely R

22. Anthony Brindisi D (Trump 54%) Leans D

23. Tom Reed R  (Trump 54%) Likely R

24. John Katko R (Clinton 49%) Tossup (R)

25. Joe Morelle D (Clinton 55%) Safe D

26. Brian Higgins D (Clinton 58%) Safe D

27. Chris Jacobs R (Trump 59%) Likely R

 

NY current: 21 D, 6 R

NY predicted: 22 D, 5 R

 

Current total: 174 D, 110 R

 

Predicted: 

177 D (122 Safe, 27 Likely, 17 Leans, 11 Tossup)

107 R  (62 Safe, 24 Likely, 11 Leans, 10 Tossup)

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North Carolina

 

Note: District lines have changed since the 2018 elections. I am using an online source to obtain what is said to be the 2016 Presidential results in the new districts.

 

1.  G.K. Butterfield D (Clinton 55%) Likely D

2.  Open (George Holding R) (Clinton 60%) Likely D

3.  Greg Murphy R (Trump 61%) Safe R

4.  David Price D (Clinton 65%) Safe D

5.  Virginia Foxx R (Trump 67%) Safe R

6.  Open (Mark Walker R) (Clinton 59%) Likely D

7.  David Rouzer R (Trump 59%) Safe R

8.  Richard Hudson R (Trump 53%) Leans R

9.  Dan Bishop R (Trump 54%) Likely R

10. Patrick McHenry R (Trump 68%) Safe R

11. Vacant (Mark Meadows R) (Trump 57%) Leans R

12. Alma Adams D (Clinton 67%) Safe D

13. Ted Budd R (Trump 67%) Safe R

 

NC current: 3 D, 10 R

NC predicted: 5 D, 8 R

 

 

Current total: 177 D, 120 R

 

Predicted: 

182 D (124 Safe, 30 Likely, 17 Leans, 11 Tossup)

115 R  (67 Safe, 25 Likely, 13 Leans, 10 Tossup)

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North Dakota

 

1. Kelly Armstrong R (Trump 63%) Safe R

ND current: 0 D, 1 R

ND predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 177 D, 121 R

 

Predicted: 

182 D (124 Safe, 30 Likely, 17 Leans, 11 Tossup)

116 R  (68 Safe, 25 Likely, 13 Leans, 10 Tossup)