Monday, September 28, 2020

U.S. House Predictions- Colorado- Delaware , Plus Georgia Special Election

 36 Days Until Election Day

Before I move on to the normally scheduled program, I have just found out that tomorrow is the first round of an odd and money wasting special election in Georgia to fill a Congressional seat. I always "predict" every House race, so I cannot forget about this one. If someone captures a majority tomorrow, they are elected to Congress, but that is unlikely to happen. Most likely, it will go to a December runoff, and the winner of that will be a Member of Congress for basically a few days, as a completely different candidate is going to win the regularly scheduled vote in November, but anyways....

Georgia- Fifth District

Vacant upon the death of John Lewis (D)

won by Clinton with 85% of the vote

Safe D/Tossup (Franklin)
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Colorado

1. Diana DeGette D (Clinton 69%) Safe D
2. Joe Neguse D (Clinton 56%) Safe D
3. Open (Scott Tipton R) (Trump 52%) Tossup (D)
4. Ken Buck R (Trump 57%) Likely R
5. Doug Lamborn R (Trump 57%) Safe R
6. Jason Crow D (Clinton 50%) Likely D
7. Ed Perlmutter D (Clinton 51%) Safe D

CO current: 4 D, 3 R
CO predicted: 5 D, 2 R

Current total: 55 D, 26 R
Predicted:
56 D (43 Safe, 8 Likely, 3 Leans, 2 Tossup)
25 R (13 Safe, 5 Likely, 5 Leans, 2 Tossup)
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Connecticut
 
1.  John Larson D (Clinton 59%) Safe D
2.  Joe Courtney D (Clinton 49%) Safe D
3.  Rosa DeLauro D (Clinton 56%) Safe D
4.  Jim Himes D (Clinton 60%) Safe D
5.  Jahana Hayes D (Clinton 50%) Likely D

CT current: 5 D, 0 R
CT predicted: 5 D, 0 R

Current total: 60 D, 26 R
Predicted:
61 D (47 Safe, 9 Likely, 3 Leans, 2 Tossup)
25 R (13 Safe, 5 Likely, 5 Leans, 2 Tossup)
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Delaware
 
1. Lisa Blunt Rochester D (Clinton 53%) Safe D

DE current: 1 D, 0 R
DE predicted: 1 D, 0 R

Current total: 61 D, 26 R
Predicted:
62 D (48 Safe, 9 Likely, 3 Leans, 2 Tossup)
25 R (13 Safe, 5 Likely, 5 Leans, 2 Tossup)

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