U.S. House Predictions Part 5

22 Days Until Election Day

Florida

This cycle, the Florida map has been significantly changed and has led to some very different districts. Some incumbents House Members are running in districts that they do not currently represent. I will be getting the Presidential totals from 2012 from an online source and hope it will be accurate.

1. Open (Jeff Miller R)- (Romney 69%)  Safe R
2. Open (Gwen Graham D)- (Romney 65%) Safe R
3. Ted Yoho R (Romney 57%) Likely R
4. Open (Ander Crenshaw R)- (Romney 66%) Safe R
5. Open (Corrine Brown D)- (Obama 64%) Safe D
6. Bill DeSantis R (Romney 52%) Likely R
7. John Mica R (Obama 49%) Leans R
8. Bill Posey R (Romney 57%) Safe R
9. Open (Alan Grayson D)- (Obama 56%) Safe D
10. Open (Dan Webster R running in new district)- (Obama 61%) Safe D
11. Open (Rich Nugent R/Dan Webster R running here)- (Romney 59%) Safe R
12. Gus Bilirakis R (Romney 53%) Safe R
13. David Jolly R - (Obama 55%) Leans D
14. Kathy Castor D (Obama 58%) Safe D
15. Dennis Ross R (Romney 52%) Likely R
16. Vern Buchanan R (Romney 54%) Likely R
17. Tom Rooney R (Romney 58%) Safe R
18. Open (Patrick Murphy D)-(Romney 51%)- Tossup (R)
19. Open (Curt Clawson R)- (Romney 61%) Safe R
20. Alcee Hastings D (Obama 83%) Safe D
21. Open (Ted Deutch D running in new district/Lois Frankel D running here)- (Obama 60%)
 Likely D
22. Open (Lois Frankel D running in new district/Ted Deutch D running here)- (Obama 56%)
 Safe D
23. Debbie Wasserman Schultz D (Obama 61%) Safe D
24. Frederica Wilson D (Obama 86%) Safe D
25. Mario Diaz-Balart R (Romney 55%) Safe R
26. Carlos Curbelo R (Obama 55%)- Tossup (R)
27. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen R (Obama 53%) Leans R

FL current: 10 D, 17 R
FL predicted: 10 D, 17 R

Current total: 63 D, 51 R
Predicted: 
63 D (47 Safe, 13 Likely, 3 Leans)
51 R (31 Safe, 11 Likely, 6 Leans, 3 Tossup)