U.S. House Predictions Part 11

9 Days Until Election Day

Minnesota

1. Tim Walz D (Obama 49%) Likely D
2. Open (John Kline R) - (Obama 49%) Leans D
3. Erik Paulsen R (Obama 50%) Leans R
4. Betty McCollum D (Obama 62%) Safe D
5. Keith Ellison D (Obama 73%) Safe D
6. Tom Emmer R (Romney 56%) Safe R
7. Collin Peterson D (Romney 54%) Likely D
8. Rick Nolan D (Obama 52%) Leans D

MN current: 5 D, 3 R
MN predicted: 6 D, 2 R

Current total: 111 D, 109 R

Predicted: 

112 D (87 Safe, 20 Likely, 5 Leans)
108 R (70 Safe, 18 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Mississippi

1. Trent Kelly R (Romney 62%) Safe R
2. Bennie Thompson D (Obama 66%) Safe D
3. Gregg Harper R (Romney 60%) Safe R
4. Steven Palazzo R (Romney 68%) Safe R

MS current: 1 D, 3 R
MS predicted: 1 D, 3 R

Current total: 112 D, 112 R

Predicted:

113 D (88 Safe, 20 Likely, 5 Leans)
111 R (73 Safe, 18 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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 Missouri 

1. Lacy Clay D (Obama 80%) Safe D
2. Ann Wagner R (Romney 57%) Likely R
3. Blaine Luetkemeyer R (Romney 62%) Safe R
4. Vicky Hartzler R (Romney 61%)  Safe R
5. Emanuel Cleaver D (Obama 59%) Safe D
6. Sam Graves R (Romney 60%) Safe R
7. Billy Long R (Romney 68%) Safe R
8. Jason Smith R (Romney 66%) Safe R

MO current: 2 D, 6 R
MO predicted: 2 D, 6 R

Current total: 114 D, 118 R

Predicted:

115 D (90 Safe, 20 Likely, 5 Leans)
117 R (78 Safe, 19 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Montana

1. Ryan Zinke R (Romney 55%) Likely R

MT current: 0 D, 1 R
MT predicted: 0 D, 1 R

Current total: 114 D, 119 R

Predicted:

115 D (90 Safe, 20 Likely, 5 Leans)
118 R (78 Safe, 20 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Nebraska

1. Jeff Fortenberry R (Romney 57%) Safe R
2. Brad Ashford D (Romney 53%) Tossup (D)
3. Adrian Smith R (Romney 70%) Safe R

NE current: 1 D, 2 R
NE predicted: 1 D, 2 R

Current total: 115 D, 121 R

Predicted:

116 D (90 Safe, 20 Likely, 5 Leans, 1 Tossup)
120 R (80 Safe, 20 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)
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Nevada

1. Dina Titus D (Obama 65%) Safe D
2. Mark Amodei R (Romney 53%) Likely R
3. Open (Joe Heck R)- (Obama 49%) Leans D
4. Cresent Hardy R (Obama 54%) Leans D

NV current: 1 D, 3 R
NV predicted: 3 D, 1 R

Current total: 116 D, 124 R

Predicted:

119 D (91 Safe, 20 Likely, 7 Leans, 1 Tossup)
121 R  (80 Safe, 21 Likely, 14 Leans, 6 Tossup)