Sunday, October 19, 2008

U.S. Senate Race Updated Predictions

Current total:

51 Democrats (29 officially, 2 unofficially)
49 Republicans

Holdover tally:

39 Democrats
26 Republicans

AL- Safe Republican
AK- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R
AR- Safe Democrat
CO- Leans Democrat- change from Tossup (D)
DE- Safe Democrat
GA- Leans Republican- change from Safe R
ID- Safe Republican
IL- Safe Democrat
IA- Safe Democrat
KS- Likely Republican
KY- Leans Republican- change from Likely R
LA- Leans Democrat - change from Tossup (R)
ME- Likely Republican
MA- Safe Democrat
MI- Safe Democrat
MN- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R
MS A- Safe Republican
MS B- Leans Republican
MT- Safe Democrat
NE- Safe Republican
NH- Tossup (D)
NJ- Likely Democrat- change from Leans D
NM- Likely Democrat
NC- Tossup (R)- change from Leans R
OK- Safe Republican
OR- Tossup (D)- change from Tossup (R)
RI- Safe Democrat
SC- Likely Republican
SD- Safe Democrat
TN- Safe Republican
TX- Leans Republican- change from Likely R
VA- Likely Democrat
WV- Safe Democrat
WY A- Safe Republican
WY B- Safe Republican

Predicted Senate total:

56 Democrats
44 Republicans

Frankly, Republicans will feel fortunate if it turns out 56-44. A few other seats could fall the Democrats way, although it might be hard for them to actually get to the filibuster proof 60. Additionally, I also maintain that the holdover seat held by Joe Lieberman will be associated with Republicans next year, whether McCain or Obama is elected President. So, 55-45 Blue Team is a real possibility.

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