Friday, October 30, 2026

U.S. House Predictions: Utah-Wyoming

4 Days Until Election Day

Utah

1. Ben McAdams D vs. Riley Owen R (Harris 60%)- Likely D
2. Peter Crosby D vs. Blake Moore R (Trump 63%)- Likely R
3. Kent Udell D vs. Celeste Maloy R (Trump 70%)- Safe R
4. Jonny Larsen D vs. Mike Kennedy R (Trump 65%)- Likely R
 
UT current: 0 D, 4 R
UT predicted: 1 D, 3 R
 
Current total: 198 D, 204 R
 
Predicted:
 
220 D (128 Safe, 53 Likely, 25 Leans, 14 Tossup)
182 R ( 68  Safe, 76 Likely, 30 Leans,   8 Tossup)
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Vermont
 
1. Becca Balint D vs. Gerald Malloy R (Harris 64%)- Safe D
 
VT current: 1 D, 0 R
VT predicted: 1 D, 0 R
 
Current total: 199 D, 204 R
 
 
Predicted:
 
221 D (129 Safe, 53 Likely, 25 Leans, 14 Tossup)
182 R ( 68  Safe, 76 Likely, 30 Leans,   8 Tossup)
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Virginia
 
1. Shannon Taylor D vs. Rob Wittman R (Trump 52%)- Tossup (D)
2. Elaine Luria D vs. Jen Kiggans R (Trump 50%) - Leans D
3. Bobby Scott D vs. Edwin Rivera R (Harris 67%)- Safe D
4. Jennifer McClellan D vs. Robert Murray R (Harris 66%)- Safe D
5. Tom Perriello D vs. John McGuire R (Trump 56%)- Leans R
6. Beth Macy D vs. Ben Cline R (Trump 61%)- Likely R
7. Eugene Vindman D vs. Doug Ollivant R (Harris 51%)- Likely D
8. Don Beyer D vs. Tony Sabio R (Harris 74%)- Safe D
9. Joy Powers D vs. Morgan Griffith R (Trump 72%)- Safe R
10. Suhas Subramanyam D vs. Dave Beckwith R (Harris 53%)- Likely D
11. James Walkinshaw D vs. Arthur Perves R (Harris 66%)- Safe D

VA current: 6 D, 5 R
VA predicted: 8 D, 3 R
 
Current total: 205 D, 209 R
 
Predicted:
 
229 D (133 Safe, 55 Likely, 26 Leans, 15 Tossup)
185 R ( 69  Safe, 77 Likely, 31 Leans,   8 Tossup)
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Washington
 
1. Suzan DelBene D vs. Mary Silva R (Harris 63%)- Safe D
2. Rick Larsen D vs. Edwin Feller R (Harris 60%)- Safe D
3. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez D vs. John Braun R (Trump 50%)- Leans D
4. John Duresky D vs. Amanda McKinney R (Trump 59%)- Likely R
5. Carmela Conroy D vs. Michael Baumgartner R (Trump 54%)- Leans R
6. Emily Randall D vs. Teresa Fox R (Harris 58%)- Safe D
7. Pramila Jayapal D vs. Nirav Sheth R (Harris 86%)- Safe D
8. Kim Schrier D vs. Spencer Meline R (Harris 51%)- Likely D 
9. Adam Smith D vs. Doug Basler R (Harris 69%)- Safe D
10. Marilyn Strickland D vs. Chris Chung R (Harris 57%)- Safe D

WA current: 8 D, 2 R
WA predicted: 8 D, 2 R
 
Current total: 213 D, 211 R
 
Predicted:
 
237 D (139 Safe, 56 Likely, 27 Leans, 15 Tossup)
187 R ( 69  Safe, 78 Likely, 32 Leans,   8 Tossup)
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West Virginia
 
1. Vince George D vs. Carol Miller R (Trump 71%)- Safe R
2. Ace Parsi D vs. Riley Moore R (Trump 69%)- Safe R
 
WV current: 0 D, 2 R
WV predicted: 0 D, 2 R
 
Current total: 213 D, 213 R
 
Predicted:
 
237 D (139 Safe, 56 Likely, 27 Leans, 15 Tossup)
189 R ( 71  Safe, 78 Likely, 32 Leans,   8 Tossup)
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Wisconsin
 
1. Mitchell Berman D vs. Bryan Steil R (Trump 52%)- Tossup (R)
2. Mark Pocan D (Harris 69%)- Safe D
3. Rebecca Cooke D vs. Derrick Van Orden R (Trump 53%)- Leans D
4. Gwen Moore D vs. Tim Rogers R (Harris 75%)- Safe D
5. Andy Beck D vs. Scott Fitzgerald R (Trump 60%)- Likely R
6. Brad Smith D vs. Glenn Grothman R (Trump 58%)- Leans R
7. Fred Clark D vs. Michael Alfonso R (Trump 61%)- Leans R
8. Rick Crosson D vs. Tony Wied R (Trump 58%)- Leans R

WI current: 2 D, 6 R
WI predicted: 3 D, 5 R
 
Current total: 215 D, 219 R
 
 
Predicted:
 
240 D (141 Safe, 56 Likely, 28 Leans, 15 Tossup)
194 R ( 71  Safe, 79 Likely, 35 Leans,  9  Tossup)
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Wyoming 
 
1. Lisa Kinney D vs. Chuck Gray R (Trump 72%)- Likely R

WY current: 0 D, 1 R
WY predicted: 0 D , 1 R
 
Current total: 215 D, 220 R 
 
Predicted:
 
240 D (141 Safe, 56 Likely, 28 Leans, 15 Tossup)
195 R ( 71  Safe, 80 Likely, 35 Leans,  9  Tossup)
 
 DEMOCRAT NET GAIN OF 25 SEATS
 
 

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